An NFL moneyline bet strips the game down to its simplest form: pick the winner, collect the payout. Unlike point spread wagers, there's no margin of victory to worry about — a one-point win pays the same as a blowout. Because NFL games are often closely contested, moneyline odds on favorites can carry steep prices, sometimes exceeding -200 or -300 for top-tier teams hosting weaker opponents. That pricing dynamic makes the moneyline particularly interesting for underdogs, where bettors can find meaningful plus-money returns on teams that may not cover a spread but can still win outright.
Strategically, the NFL moneyline market tends to offer the most value in games with tight spreads — typically in the 1-to-3.5 point range — where the implied probability gap between the favorite and underdog is narrow, but the moneyline payout still reflects meaningful plus-money on the dog. In terms of vig, NFL moneyline markets generally carry slightly higher juice than point spreads, since sportsbooks bake in additional margin when outcomes aren't balanced by a handicap. That makes comparing vig across books especially important here; even small differences in moneyline pricing compound significantly over a full 18-week season.
Moneyline Vig Rankings
| # | Sportsbook | Vig | Grade | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pinnacle | 3.14% | B+ | 16 |
| 2 | FanDuel | 3.98% | B+ | 18 |
| 3 | theScore Bet (ESPN Bet) | 4.10% | B | 20 |
| 4 | Bovada | 4.13% | B | 18 |
| 5 | DraftKings | 4.29% | B | 75 |
| 6 | BetMGM | 4.33% | B | 20 |
| 7 | Fanatics | 4.45% | B | 18 |
| 8 | ReBet | 5.00% | C+ | 20 |
| 9 | Bally Bet | 5.01% | C+ | 17 |
| 10 | betPARX | 5.01% | C+ | 17 |
| 11 | Caesars | 5.26% | C+ | 74 |
| 12 | BetRivers | 5.74% | C+ | 17 |
Upcoming Moneyline Lines
| Matchup | Time | DraftKings | FanDuel | Fanatics | Bally Bet | betPARX |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks | Sep 10, 12:15 AM | -205 / +170 | -205 / +172 | -210 / +175 | -205 / +165 | -205 / +165 |
| San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams | Sep 11, 12:35 AM | +130 / -155 | +124 / -146 | +120 / -140 | +117 / -143 | +117 / -143 |
| Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers | Sep 13, 5:00 PM | -175 / +145 | -146 / +124 | -145 / +120 | -143 / +117 | -143 / +117 |
| Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts | Sep 13, 5:00 PM | +154 / -185 | +172 / -205 | +175 / -210 | +170 / -210 | +170 / -210 |
| Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans | Sep 13, 5:00 PM | -108 / -112 | -104 / -112 | -110 / -110 | -105 / -117 | -105 / -117 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is a moneyline bet?
A moneyline bet is the simplest form of sports wagering — you're picking which team will win the game outright, with no point spread involved. The odds reflect each team's implied probability of winning. Favorites have negative odds (e.g., -150) and underdogs have positive odds (e.g., +130).
Why does moneyline vig vary by matchup?
Moneyline vig is lowest on evenly matched games and highest on lopsided matchups. When a heavy favorite is -500, the book needs a wide margin on the underdog side to balance risk. Close games near pick'em (-110/-110) will always have the tightest vig.
Why is NFL vig typically lower than other sports?
NFL games attract massive betting volume, which forces sportsbooks to compete on price. Higher liquidity lets books operate on thinner margins. The result is that NFL moneylines, spreads, and totals usually carry some of the lowest vig in all of sports betting.
What markets are available for NFL betting?
We track three core NFL markets: moneyline (who wins), point spreads (margin of victory), and totals (over/under combined points). Each market has its own vig profile — spreads tend to have the tightest lines because they see the highest volume.
When does NFL season start and end?
The NFL regular season runs from early September through mid-January, with playoffs extending through the Super Bowl in February. Preseason odds typically appear in August. During the off-season (March–August), sportsbooks may post futures but per-game lines are unavailable.
How do NFL spreads affect vig?
NFL point spreads are the most heavily bet market in American sports. This intense competition among both bettors and sportsbooks drives spreads to their most efficient prices. You'll often see NFL spreads at -110/-110 or better at sharp books, translating to vig under 5%.
Does vig change closer to NFL game time?
Yes. Early-week NFL lines often carry higher vig as books manage exposure with limited information. As kickoff approaches and sharp money flows in, lines tighten and vig tends to decrease. Betting closer to game time often means better prices, especially at sharp-friendly books.
What is vig (vigorish) in sports betting?
Vig — short for vigorish, also called juice or overround — is the margin a sportsbook builds into its odds. It's the difference between the true probability of an outcome and what the odds imply. Lower vig means you keep more of your winnings on every bet. For example, a standard -110/-110 line has about 4.76% vig.
How often is this data updated?
We pull fresh odds from The Odds API three times per day — at 6:00 AM, 2:00 PM, and 10:00 PM UTC. Each snapshot captures the latest lines from every sportsbook that has posted odds. The timestamp at the top of the page shows the most recent refresh.
How is the vig grade calculated?
Each sportsbook is graded on a letter scale based on average vig: A+ (under 2%) is exceptional, A (2–3%) is excellent, B+ (3–4%) is above average, B (4–5%) is the industry standard, C (5–6%) is below average, and D (above 6%) indicates high-juice markets.
How We Calculate These Numbers
- Data Source
- All odds on this page come from The Odds API, which aggregates real-time lines from licensed US and offshore sportsbooks. We track moneyline, spread, and totals markets across every sport with active betting lines.
- Update Frequency
- We pull a fresh snapshot of every tracked market three times per day — at 6:00 AM, 2:00 PM, and 10:00 PM UTC. Each snapshot captures the latest lines from every sportsbook that has posted odds for a given event. The timestamp at the top of each page tells you exactly when the data was last refreshed.
- Vig Calculation
- Vig (short for vigorish, also called juice or overround) measures the margin a sportsbook builds into its odds. We calculate it by converting the odds on each side of a market to implied probabilities, summing those probabilities, and subtracting 100%. For example, a market priced at -110/-110 implies 52.38% on each side — a total of 104.76%, meaning a vig of 4.76%. Lower vig means better value for bettors because you keep more of your winnings.
- Per-Market Breakdown
- We compute vig separately for each market type: moneyline (h2h), point spreads, and totals (over/under). The "average vig" shown for each sportsbook is the mean across all market types weighted by the number of events sampled in each market.
- Grading Scale
- Every sportsbook receives a letter grade based on its average vig: A+ (under 2%) is exchange-level pricing. A (2–3%) is very competitive. B+ (3–4%) is above average. B (4–5%) is the industry standard — a -110/-110 line is 4.76%. C+ (5–6%) is slightly below average. C (6–7%) is below average. D (7–8%) is high vig. D− (8–10%) is very high vig. F (10%+) is predatory pricing. See the full Vig Index Methodology for formulas, worked examples, and known limitations.
- Trend Tracking
- We store daily snapshots for 30 days, allowing us to show 24-hour and 7-day vig trends. A downward trend (improving) means sportsbooks are tightening their lines — often in response to increased competition or higher betting volume as a season heats up.