A moneyline bet in Serie A is a three-way market where bettors select either the home team, the away team, or the draw as the match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Unlike two-way sports like basketball, the draw outcome is a critical third option that significantly shapes the odds landscape. Serie A historically produces a higher draw rate than many top European leagues, partly due to the tactically conservative approach many Italian clubs adopt, particularly in away fixtures. Understanding this dynamic is essential — blindly backing favorites on the moneyline often erodes value because the draw siphons off probability that would otherwise compress the favorite's price.
The moneyline market tends to offer the most value when there are clear tactical mismatches or when mid-table sides host relegation-threatened opponents, situations where the draw probability is genuinely lower but books may still price it conservatively. Bettors should monitor squad rotation carefully, as Serie A clubs competing in European competitions frequently rest key players for domestic fixtures. Regarding vig, three-way moneylines typically carry higher overall margins than Asian handicap or over/under markets because the additional outcome gives books more room to embed juice across three prices. Comparing vig across books on this specific market type can yield meaningful savings over a full 38-match season.
Analysis updated October 18, 2026. Odds data above refreshes hourly.
Moneyline Vig Rankings
| # | Sportsbook | Vig | Grade | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pinnacle | 3.25% | B+ | 10 |
| 2 | BetAnything | 3.50% | B+ | 7 |
| 3 | BetOnline.ag | 3.50% | B+ | 10 |
| 4 | LowVig.ag | 3.50% | B+ | 10 |
| 5 | BetUS | 4.81% | B | 10 |
| 6 | Bovada | 5.04% | C+ | 10 |
| 7 | BetMGM | 5.48% | C+ | 10 |
| 8 | Fanatics | 6.02% | C | 10 |
| 9 | theScore Bet (ESPN Bet) | 6.85% | C | 10 |
| 10 | Hard Rock Bet | 7.02% | D | 10 |
| 11 | Caesars | 7.05% | D | 9 |
| 12 | FanDuel | 7.37% | D | 10 |
| 13 | BetRivers | 7.38% | D | 10 |
| 14 | Bally Bet | 7.38% | D | 10 |
| 15 | betPARX | 7.38% | D | 10 |
| 16 | DraftKings | 8.27% | D- | 10 |
| 17 | 888sport | 8.53% | D- | 10 |
| 18 | Fliff | 9.96% | D- | 1 |
Upcoming Moneyline Lines
| Matchup (away @ home) | Time | Pinnacle | Fanatics | 888sport | DraftKings | BetRivers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monza @ Bologna | Oct 31, 10:00 AM EDT | +400 / -142 | +375 / -140 | +360 / -143 | +360 / -150 | +370 / -143 |
| AS Roma @ Udinese | Oct 31, 1:00 PM EDT | -177 / +468 | -180 / +450 | -188 / +400 | -195 / +425 | -186 / +440 |
| Inter Milan @ AC Milan | Oct 31, 3:45 PM EDT | +102 / +271 | +100 / +250 | -105 / +250 | -105 / +245 | +100 / +240 |
| Venezia @ Como | Nov 1, 6:30 AM EST | +832 / -336 | +800 / -350 | +700 / -333 | +700 / -360 | +700 / -335 |
| Cagliari @ Lazio | Nov 1, 9:00 AM EST | +603 / -207 | +600 / -240 | +600 / -225 | +550 / -225 | +575 / -225 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is a moneyline bet?
A moneyline bet is the simplest form of sports wagering — you're picking which team will win the game outright, with no point spread involved. The odds reflect each team's implied probability of winning. Favorites have negative odds (e.g., -150) and underdogs have positive odds (e.g., +130).
Why does moneyline vig vary by matchup?
Moneyline vig is lowest on evenly matched games and highest on lopsided matchups. When a heavy favorite is -500, the book needs a wide margin on the underdog side to balance risk. Close games near pick'em (-110/-110) will always have the tightest vig.
What makes Serie A betting unique?
Serie A is known for tactical, low-scoring football which affects totals markets. Italian football has massive global following, keeping vig competitive. Matches are spread across the weekend with a popular Monday night fixture.
What is vig (vigorish) in sports betting?
Vig — short for vigorish, also called juice or overround — is the margin a sportsbook builds into its odds. It's the difference between the true probability of an outcome and what the odds imply. Lower vig means you keep more of your winnings on every bet. For example, a standard -110/-110 line has about 4.76% vig.
How often is this data updated?
We pull fresh odds from The Odds API every hour, on the hour (UTC). Each snapshot captures the latest lines from every sportsbook that has posted odds. The timestamp at the top of the page shows the most recent refresh.
How is the vig grade calculated?
Each sportsbook is graded on average vig: A+ (under 2%) is exchange-level pricing, A (2–3%) very competitive, B+ (3–4%) above average, B (4–5%) the industry standard, C+ (5–6%) slightly below average, C (6–7%) below average, D (7–8%) high vig, D− (8–10%) very high, F (10%+) predatory.
Why does lower vig matter for bettors?
Lower vig directly impacts your long-term returns. A bettor placing $1,000 per week at a book with 4% vig loses roughly $40/week to the house edge. At 2% vig, that drops to $20/week — a $1,040 difference over a year. For serious bettors, shopping for lower vig is one of the most reliable ways to improve profitability.
What sportsbooks do you track?
We track both regulated US sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars) and offshore books (Bovada, BetOnline, MyBookie, BetUS, LowVig.ag, BetAnything). Data comes from The Odds API, which aggregates real-time lines from licensed sources.
How We Calculate These Numbers
- Data Source
- All odds on this page come from The Odds API, which aggregates real-time lines from licensed US and offshore sportsbooks. We track moneyline, spread, and totals markets across every sport with active betting lines.
- Update Frequency
- We pull a fresh snapshot of every tracked market every hour, on the hour (UTC). Each snapshot captures the latest lines from every sportsbook that has posted odds for a given event. The timestamp at the top of each page tells you exactly when the data was last refreshed.
- Vig Calculation
- Vig (short for vigorish, also called juice or overround) measures the margin a sportsbook builds into its odds. We calculate it by converting the odds on each side of a market to implied probabilities, summing those probabilities, and subtracting 100%. For example, a market priced at -110/-110 implies 52.38% on each side — a total of 104.76%, meaning a vig of 4.76%. Lower vig means better value for bettors because you keep more of your winnings.
- Per-Market Breakdown
- We compute vig separately for each market type: moneyline (h2h), point spreads, and totals (over/under). The "average vig" shown for each sportsbook is the mean across all market types weighted by the number of events sampled in each market.
- Grading Scale
- Every sportsbook receives a letter grade based on its average vig: A+ (under 2%) is exchange-level pricing. A (2–3%) is very competitive. B+ (3–4%) is above average. B (4–5%) is the industry standard — a -110/-110 line is 4.76%. C+ (5–6%) is slightly below average. C (6–7%) is below average. D (7–8%) is high vig. D− (8–10%) is very high vig. F (10%+) is predatory pricing. See the full Vig Index Methodology for formulas, worked examples, and known limitations.
- Trend Tracking
- We store daily snapshots for 30 days, allowing us to show 24-hour and 7-day vig trends. A downward trend (improving) means sportsbooks are tightening their lines — often in response to increased competition or higher betting volume as a season heats up.