Moneyline betting in the FIFA World Cup requires a critical distinction from most American sports: it's a three-way market. Bettors must choose between Team A, Team B, or the draw — and in a tournament where roughly 25-30% of group stage matches end level, ignoring the draw is a costly mistake. Unlike NFL or NBA moneylines where one side must win, the three-way moneyline in soccer means the favorite's implied probability is lower, and the draw acts as a significant value lever that casual bettors frequently overlook.
Strategically, the moneyline market becomes most valuable in group stage matches where motivation and tactical context create pricing inefficiencies — teams already qualified often rotate squads, while desperate sides play with urgency the odds don't fully capture. Bettors should monitor starting lineups closely, as they're released just one hour before kickoff. Regarding vig, three-way moneylines typically carry higher total overround than two-way markets like over/under or Asian handicaps, often ranging from 5-8% depending on the book. This makes shopping across sportsbooks especially impactful, as even small vig differences compound meaningfully across a 64-match tournament.
Moneyline Vig Rankings
| # | Sportsbook | Vig | Grade | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BetOnline.ag | 3.87% | B+ | 23 |
| 2 | Bovada | 5.47% | C+ | 20 |
| 3 | Pinnacle | 6.65% | C | 23 |
| 4 | Hard Rock Bet | 6.74% | C | 23 |
| 5 | FanDuel | 7.07% | D | 41 |
| 6 | Bally Bet | 7.09% | D | 49 |
| 7 | betPARX | 7.09% | D | 49 |
| 8 | BetRivers | 7.10% | D | 47 |
| 9 | MyBookie.ag | 8.00% | D- | 24 |
| 10 | DraftKings | 9.10% | D- | 24 |
| 11 | 888sport | 9.30% | D- | 23 |
| 12 | BetMGM | 10.36% | F | 23 |
Upcoming Moneyline Lines
| Matchup | Time | BetMGM | FanDuel | Pinnacle | Bovada | Bally Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Africa @ Mexico | Jun 11, 7:00 PM | +450 / -210 | +550 / -190 | +503 / -185 | +500 / -179 | +500 / -195 |
| Czech Republic @ South Korea | Jun 12, 2:00 AM | +165 / +175 | +160 / +175 | +164 / +179 | +166 / +180 | +165 / +170 |
| Bosnia & Herzegovina @ Canada | Jun 12, 7:00 PM | -120 / +333 | -130 / +340 | -127 / +316 | — | -121 / +300 |
| Paraguay @ USA | Jun 13, 1:00 AM | -110 / +240 | +100 / +270 | +106 / +247 | +108 / +250 | -108 / +265 |
| Switzerland @ Qatar | Jun 13, 7:00 PM | -375 / +700 | -425 / +900 | -353 / +765 | -340 / +800 | -335 / +750 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is a moneyline bet?
A moneyline bet is the simplest form of sports wagering — you're picking which team will win the game outright, with no point spread involved. The odds reflect each team's implied probability of winning. Favorites have negative odds (e.g., -150) and underdogs have positive odds (e.g., +130).
Why does moneyline vig vary by matchup?
Moneyline vig is lowest on evenly matched games and highest on lopsided matchups. When a heavy favorite is -500, the book needs a wide margin on the underdog side to balance risk. Close games near pick'em (-110/-110) will always have the tightest vig.
What is vig (vigorish) in sports betting?
Vig — short for vigorish, also called juice or overround — is the margin a sportsbook builds into its odds. It's the difference between the true probability of an outcome and what the odds imply. Lower vig means you keep more of your winnings on every bet. For example, a standard -110/-110 line has about 4.76% vig.
How often is this data updated?
We pull fresh odds from The Odds API three times per day — at 6:00 AM, 2:00 PM, and 10:00 PM UTC. Each snapshot captures the latest lines from every sportsbook that has posted odds. The timestamp at the top of the page shows the most recent refresh.
How is the vig grade calculated?
Each sportsbook is graded on a letter scale based on average vig: A+ (under 2%) is exceptional, A (2–3%) is excellent, B+ (3–4%) is above average, B (4–5%) is the industry standard, C (5–6%) is below average, and D (above 6%) indicates high-juice markets.
Why does lower vig matter for bettors?
Lower vig directly impacts your long-term returns. A bettor placing $1,000 per week at a book with 4% vig loses roughly $40/week to the house edge. At 2% vig, that drops to $20/week — a $1,040 difference over a year. For serious bettors, shopping for lower vig is one of the most reliable ways to improve profitability.
What sportsbooks do you track?
We track both regulated US sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars) and offshore books (Bovada, BetOnline, MyBookie, BetUS, LowVig.ag, BetAnySports). Data comes from The Odds API, which aggregates real-time lines from licensed sources.
How We Calculate These Numbers
- Data Source
- All odds on this page come from The Odds API, which aggregates real-time lines from licensed US and offshore sportsbooks. We track moneyline, spread, and totals markets across every sport with active betting lines.
- Update Frequency
- We pull a fresh snapshot of every tracked market three times per day — at 6:00 AM, 2:00 PM, and 10:00 PM UTC. Each snapshot captures the latest lines from every sportsbook that has posted odds for a given event. The timestamp at the top of each page tells you exactly when the data was last refreshed.
- Vig Calculation
- Vig (short for vigorish, also called juice or overround) measures the margin a sportsbook builds into its odds. We calculate it by converting the odds on each side of a market to implied probabilities, summing those probabilities, and subtracting 100%. For example, a market priced at -110/-110 implies 52.38% on each side — a total of 104.76%, meaning a vig of 4.76%. Lower vig means better value for bettors because you keep more of your winnings.
- Per-Market Breakdown
- We compute vig separately for each market type: moneyline (h2h), point spreads, and totals (over/under). The "average vig" shown for each sportsbook is the mean across all market types weighted by the number of events sampled in each market.
- Grading Scale
- Every sportsbook receives a letter grade based on its average vig: A+ (under 2%) is exchange-level pricing. A (2–3%) is very competitive. B+ (3–4%) is above average. B (4–5%) is the industry standard — a -110/-110 line is 4.76%. C+ (5–6%) is slightly below average. C (6–7%) is below average. D (7–8%) is high vig. D− (8–10%) is very high vig. F (10%+) is predatory pricing. See the full Vig Index Methodology for formulas, worked examples, and known limitations.
- Trend Tracking
- We store daily snapshots for 30 days, allowing us to show 24-hour and 7-day vig trends. A downward trend (improving) means sportsbooks are tightening their lines — often in response to increased competition or higher betting volume as a season heats up.