Monte Carlo

Monte Carlo Simulation for Prediction Market Position Sizing

How to use Monte Carlo methods to simulate thousands of outcome scenarios, stress-test Kelly sizing under model uncertainty, and set position limits for autonomous prediction market agents.

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World Cup 2026 Betting Math: Tournament Structure, Group Stage, and Knockout Models

Mathematical modeling for the expanded 48-team World Cup 2026 — Poisson group stage simulation, Elo-based match probabilities, knockout bracket propagation via Monte Carlo, and futures pricing for autonomous betting agents.

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