A moneyline bet in Serie A is a three-way market where bettors pick the home win, away win, or draw as the match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Unlike two-way moneyline markets common in American sports, the draw option is a critical third outcome that significantly impacts pricing. Serie A matches historically produce draws at a rate around 25-28%, meaning bettors who ignore or undervalue the draw are leaving value on the table. Understanding how each sportsbook prices that third outcome is essential, as it's often where the most vig gets embedded.
Moneyline markets in Serie A tend to carry higher vig than Asian handicap or over/under lines because the three-way structure gives bookmakers an extra outcome to build margin into. Bettors should pay close attention to matchups involving mid-table sides where outcomes are genuinely uncertain — these are the spots where vig discrepancies between books widen most noticeably. Home-field advantage remains a meaningful factor in Italian football, particularly at intimidating venues like Napoli's Stadio Maradona or Atalanta's Gewiss Stadium, but the market frequently overprices elite home favorites. Comparing odds across multiple books on the draw and underdog legs often reveals the sharpest edges.
↑ 7-day trend: Serie A - Italy moneyline average vig has worsened by 0.21 percentage points over the past week (from 6.54% to 6.75%). Odds margins are widening, meaning bettors are getting less value per wager.
Cross-Sport moneyline Vig Comparison
Serie A - Italy moneyline averages 6.75% vig across 14 sportsbooks. Here's how that compares to other active sports:
| Sport | Avg Vig | vs Serie A - Italy |
|---|---|---|
| Serie A - Italy | 6.75% | — |
| CFL | 4.85% | 1.90% higher |
| NCAAF | 4.57% | 2.18% higher |
| NFL | 4.44% | 2.31% higher |
| NFL Preseason | 4.53% | 2.22% higher |
Vig Rankings
| # | Sportsbook | Vig | Grade | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bovada | 4.90% | B | 10 |
| 2 | BetOnline.ag | 5.01% | C+ | 10 |
| 3 | LowVig.ag | 5.01% | C+ | 10 |
| 4 | Pinnacle | 5.35% | C+ | 10 |
| 5 | Fanatics | 5.69% | C+ | 10 |
| 6 | BetUS | 5.75% | C+ | 10 |
| 7 | BetMGM | 5.78% | C+ | 10 |
| 8 | Caesars | 5.83% | C+ | 10 |
| 9 | betPARX | 7.32% | D | 10 |
| 10 | Bally Bet | 7.32% | D | 10 |
| 11 | FanDuel | 7.51% | D | 10 |
| 12 | 888sport | 8.62% | D- | 10 |
| 13 | BetRivers | 9.88% | D- | 10 |
| 14 | DraftKings | 10.51% | F | 10 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Which sportsbook has the lowest Serie A - Italy moneyline vig?
Bovada currently has the lowest vig at 4.90%, earning a grade of B.
What makes Serie A betting unique?
Serie A is known for tactical, low-scoring football which affects totals markets. Italian football has massive global following, keeping vig competitive. Matches are spread across the weekend with a popular Monday night fixture.
What is vig (vigorish) in sports betting?
Vig — short for vigorish, also called juice or overround — is the margin a sportsbook builds into its odds. It's the difference between the true probability of an outcome and what the odds imply. Lower vig means you keep more of your winnings on every bet. For example, a standard -110/-110 line has about 4.76% vig.
How often is this data updated?
We pull fresh odds from The Odds API three times per day — at 6:00 AM, 2:00 PM, and 10:00 PM UTC. Each snapshot captures the latest lines from every sportsbook that has posted odds. The timestamp at the top of the page shows the most recent refresh.
How is the vig grade calculated?
Each sportsbook is graded on a letter scale based on average vig: A+ (under 2%) is exceptional, A (2–3%) is excellent, B+ (3–4%) is above average, B (4–5%) is the industry standard, C (5–6%) is below average, and D (above 6%) indicates high-juice markets.
Why does lower vig matter for bettors?
Lower vig directly impacts your long-term returns. A bettor placing $1,000 per week at a book with 4% vig loses roughly $40/week to the house edge. At 2% vig, that drops to $20/week — a $1,040 difference over a year. For serious bettors, shopping for lower vig is one of the most reliable ways to improve profitability.
What sportsbooks do you track?
We track both regulated US sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars) and offshore books (Bovada, BetOnline, MyBookie, BetUS, LowVig.ag, BetAnySports). Data comes from The Odds API, which aggregates real-time lines from licensed sources.
How We Calculate These Numbers
- Data Source
- All odds on this page come from The Odds API, which aggregates real-time lines from licensed US and offshore sportsbooks. We track moneyline, spread, and totals markets across every sport with active betting lines.
- Update Frequency
- We pull a fresh snapshot of every tracked market three times per day — at 6:00 AM, 2:00 PM, and 10:00 PM UTC. Each snapshot captures the latest lines from every sportsbook that has posted odds for a given event. The timestamp at the top of each page tells you exactly when the data was last refreshed.
- Vig Calculation
- Vig (short for vigorish, also called juice or overround) measures the margin a sportsbook builds into its odds. We calculate it by converting the odds on each side of a market to implied probabilities, summing those probabilities, and subtracting 100%. For example, a market priced at -110/-110 implies 52.38% on each side — a total of 104.76%, meaning a vig of 4.76%. Lower vig means better value for bettors because you keep more of your winnings.
- Per-Market Breakdown
- We compute vig separately for each market type: moneyline (h2h), point spreads, and totals (over/under). The "average vig" shown for each sportsbook is the mean across all market types weighted by the number of events sampled in each market.
- Grading Scale
- Every sportsbook receives a letter grade based on its average vig: A+ (under 2%) is exchange-level pricing. A (2–3%) is very competitive. B+ (3–4%) is above average. B (4–5%) is the industry standard — a -110/-110 line is 4.76%. C+ (5–6%) is slightly below average. C (6–7%) is below average. D (7–8%) is high vig. D− (8–10%) is very high vig. F (10%+) is predatory pricing. See the full Vig Index Methodology for formulas, worked examples, and known limitations.
- Trend Tracking
- We store daily snapshots for 30 days, allowing us to show 24-hour and 7-day vig trends. A downward trend (improving) means sportsbooks are tightening their lines — often in response to increased competition or higher betting volume as a season heats up.