Moneyline betting in the FIFA World Cup requires a distinct approach because it's a three-way market by default. Unlike most North American sports where a moneyline bet has two outcomes, World Cup moneyline includes the draw as a third option — win, lose, or draw in regulation time. This fundamentally changes the math and the value equation. The draw is a frequent outcome in international soccer, particularly in group stage matches between evenly matched sides, and its presence creates opportunities that sharper bettors exploit. A two-way moneyline (excluding the draw) is also offered by most books, but the vig is typically steeper since the sportsbook absorbs the draw risk.
Strategy-wise, the three-way moneyline offers the most value during the group stage, where tactical caution and unfamiliarity between opponents lead to a higher draw rate. Bettors should monitor squad rotations, altitude and climate factors, and historical head-to-head records between football federations, which tend to be more predictive in international play than at club level. Regarding vig, three-way moneylines generally carry higher margins than Asian handicap or totals markets for the same match, since the third outcome gives books more room to build in margin. Comparing vig across sportsbooks on this specific market type can reveal meaningful differences in long-term cost.
↓ 7-day trend: FIFA World Cup moneyline average vig has improved by 0.48 percentage points over the past week (from 6.31% to 5.83%). Sportsbooks are tightening their lines — a good sign for bettors.
Cross-Sport moneyline Vig Comparison
FIFA World Cup moneyline averages 5.83% vig across 20 sportsbooks. Here's how that compares to other active sports:
| Sport | Avg Vig | vs FIFA World Cup |
|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 5.83% | — |
| CFL | 4.89% | 0.94% higher |
| NCAAF | 4.68% | 1.15% higher |
| NFL | 4.44% | 1.39% higher |
| NFL Preseason | 4.38% | 1.45% higher |
Vig Rankings
| # | Sportsbook | Vig | Grade | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BetOnline.ag | 3.55% | B+ | 62 |
| 2 | LowVig.ag | 3.55% | B+ | 62 |
| 3 | DraftKings | 4.29% | B | 63 |
| 4 | Hard Rock Bet | 4.76% | B | 57 |
| 5 | BetAnything | 4.93% | B | 35 |
| 6 | betPARX | 4.95% | B | 63 |
| 7 | BetRivers | 4.96% | B | 62 |
| 8 | Bally Bet | 5.03% | C+ | 63 |
| 9 | BetUS | 5.05% | C+ | 38 |
| 10 | FanDuel | 5.27% | C+ | 63 |
| 11 | Bovada | 5.51% | C+ | 63 |
| 12 | Fanatics | 5.70% | C+ | 26 |
| 13 | Pinnacle | 5.92% | C+ | 63 |
| 14 | theScore Bet (ESPN Bet) | 6.27% | C | 40 |
| 15 | ReBet | 6.80% | C | 61 |
| 16 | Caesars | 7.09% | D | 23 |
| 17 | MyBookie.ag | 7.13% | D | 59 |
| 18 | Fliff | 7.49% | D | 63 |
| 19 | BetMGM | 9.06% | D- | 50 |
| 20 | 888sport | 9.20% | D- | 63 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Which sportsbook has the lowest FIFA World Cup moneyline vig?
BetOnline.ag currently has the lowest vig at 3.55%, earning a grade of B+.
What is vig (vigorish) in sports betting?
Vig — short for vigorish, also called juice or overround — is the margin a sportsbook builds into its odds. It's the difference between the true probability of an outcome and what the odds imply. Lower vig means you keep more of your winnings on every bet. For example, a standard -110/-110 line has about 4.76% vig.
How often is this data updated?
We pull fresh odds from The Odds API three times per day — at 6:00 AM, 2:00 PM, and 10:00 PM UTC. Each snapshot captures the latest lines from every sportsbook that has posted odds. The timestamp at the top of the page shows the most recent refresh.
How is the vig grade calculated?
Each sportsbook is graded on a letter scale based on average vig: A+ (under 2%) is exceptional, A (2–3%) is excellent, B+ (3–4%) is above average, B (4–5%) is the industry standard, C (5–6%) is below average, and D (above 6%) indicates high-juice markets.
Why does lower vig matter for bettors?
Lower vig directly impacts your long-term returns. A bettor placing $1,000 per week at a book with 4% vig loses roughly $40/week to the house edge. At 2% vig, that drops to $20/week — a $1,040 difference over a year. For serious bettors, shopping for lower vig is one of the most reliable ways to improve profitability.
What sportsbooks do you track?
We track both regulated US sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars) and offshore books (Bovada, BetOnline, MyBookie, BetUS, LowVig.ag, BetAnySports). Data comes from The Odds API, which aggregates real-time lines from licensed sources.
How We Calculate These Numbers
- Data Source
- All odds on this page come from The Odds API, which aggregates real-time lines from licensed US and offshore sportsbooks. We track moneyline, spread, and totals markets across every sport with active betting lines.
- Update Frequency
- We pull a fresh snapshot of every tracked market three times per day — at 6:00 AM, 2:00 PM, and 10:00 PM UTC. Each snapshot captures the latest lines from every sportsbook that has posted odds for a given event. The timestamp at the top of each page tells you exactly when the data was last refreshed.
- Vig Calculation
- Vig (short for vigorish, also called juice or overround) measures the margin a sportsbook builds into its odds. We calculate it by converting the odds on each side of a market to implied probabilities, summing those probabilities, and subtracting 100%. For example, a market priced at -110/-110 implies 52.38% on each side — a total of 104.76%, meaning a vig of 4.76%. Lower vig means better value for bettors because you keep more of your winnings.
- Per-Market Breakdown
- We compute vig separately for each market type: moneyline (h2h), point spreads, and totals (over/under). The "average vig" shown for each sportsbook is the mean across all market types weighted by the number of events sampled in each market.
- Grading Scale
- Every sportsbook receives a letter grade based on its average vig: A+ (under 2%) is exchange-level pricing. A (2–3%) is very competitive. B+ (3–4%) is above average. B (4–5%) is the industry standard — a -110/-110 line is 4.76%. C+ (5–6%) is slightly below average. C (6–7%) is below average. D (7–8%) is high vig. D− (8–10%) is very high vig. F (10%+) is predatory pricing. See the full Vig Index Methodology for formulas, worked examples, and known limitations.
- Trend Tracking
- We store daily snapshots for 30 days, allowing us to show 24-hour and 7-day vig trends. A downward trend (improving) means sportsbooks are tightening their lines — often in response to increased competition or higher betting volume as a season heats up.