Closing Lines
Best available closing moneyline: Turkey +645 at BetOnline.ag (runner-up +645 at BetAnything); Italy -220 at Pinnacle (runner-up -220 at BetMGM); Draw +380 at Pinnacle (runner-up +380 at theScore Bet).
| Market | Closing (best available) |
|---|---|
| Moneyline — Turkey | +645 at BetOnline.ag (runner-up +645 at BetAnything) |
| Moneyline — Italy | -220 at Pinnacle (runner-up -220 at BetMGM) |
| Moneyline — Draw | +380 at Pinnacle |
| Spread (Italy, consensus) | -1.125 |
| Total (consensus) | 2.75 |
Line Movement
Since Oct 2, 4 AM ET, the moneyline has moved toward Italy (Turkey price improved from +440 to +645); the spread moved toward Italy: Italy opened -1, now -1.125; the total dropped from 3 to 2.75.
| Market | Tracking opened (Oct 2, 4 AM ET) | Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline (best available) | Turkey +440 / Italy -186 | Turkey +645 / Italy -220 |
| Spread (Italy, consensus) | -1 | -1.125 (range -1.5 to -1) |
| Total (consensus) | 3 | 2.75 |
Previous Meetings — Best Closing Prices
Head-to-head history with the best available price per side at close — the line-shopping benchmark for this matchup.
| Date | Game | Away best | Home best | Draw best | Spread (home) | Total | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | Italy @ Turkey | +158 (Pinnacle) | +181 (Pinnacle) | +258 (BetOnline.ag) | 0 | 2.625 | 8 |
Pricing Context: UEFA Nations League Vig
Lowest-vig sportsbooks for UEFA Nations League right now: Pinnacle (B+, 3.71% avg vig), BetOnline.ag (B, 4.03% avg vig), BetAnything (C+, 5.15% avg vig). Lower vig means the book keeps less of every dollar wagered — the best single-game price and the best long-run pricing are not always the same book. Pinnacle, which holds a best price on this game, grades B+ on UEFA Nations League vig overall.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the closing line for Turkey vs Italy?
Best available closing moneyline: Turkey +645 at BetOnline.ag (runner-up +645 at BetAnything); Italy -220 at Pinnacle (runner-up -220 at BetMGM); Draw +380 at Pinnacle (runner-up +380 at theScore Bet). Closing consensus spread: Italy -1.125. Consensus total: 2.75. Captured October 5, 2026 at 6:01 PM UTC across 16 sportsbooks.
How did the line move before Turkey vs Italy?
Since Oct 2, 4 AM ET, the moneyline has moved toward Italy (Turkey price improved from +440 to +645); the spread moved toward Italy: Italy opened -1, now -1.125; the total dropped from 3 to 2.75.
Why do closing lines matter?
The closing line is the market’s final, sharpest price. Beating it consistently (positive closing line value, CLV) is the standard test of a winning bettor or betting model. AgentBets archives the best available closing price per side — the benchmark line shoppers actually could have gotten.
What were the closing lines in previous Turkey vs Italy meetings?
This page archives 2 meeting(s) of this matchup with the best available price per side at each — see the Previous Meetings table.
How We Calculate These Numbers
- Data Source
- All odds on this page come from The Odds API, which aggregates real-time lines from licensed US and offshore sportsbooks. We track moneyline, spread, and totals markets across every sport with active betting lines.
- Update Frequency
- We pull a fresh snapshot of every tracked market every hour, on the hour (UTC). Each snapshot captures the latest lines from every sportsbook that has posted odds for a given event. The timestamp at the top of each page tells you exactly when the data was last refreshed.
- Vig Calculation
- Vig (short for vigorish, also called juice or overround) measures the margin a sportsbook builds into its odds. We calculate it by converting the odds on each side of a market to implied probabilities, summing those probabilities, and subtracting 100%. For example, a market priced at -110/-110 implies 52.38% on each side — a total of 104.76%, meaning a vig of 4.76%. Lower vig means better value for bettors because you keep more of your winnings.
- Per-Market Breakdown
- We compute vig separately for each market type: moneyline (h2h), point spreads, and totals (over/under). The "average vig" shown for each sportsbook is the mean across all market types weighted by the number of events sampled in each market.
- Grading Scale
- Every sportsbook receives a letter grade based on its average vig: A+ (under 2%) is exchange-level pricing. A (2–3%) is very competitive. B+ (3–4%) is above average. B (4–5%) is the industry standard — a -110/-110 line is 4.76%. C+ (5–6%) is slightly below average. C (6–7%) is below average. D (7–8%) is high vig. D− (8–10%) is very high vig. F (10%+) is predatory pricing. See the full Vig Index Methodology for formulas, worked examples, and known limitations.
- Trend Tracking
- We store daily snapshots for 30 days, allowing us to show 24-hour and 7-day vig trends. A downward trend (improving) means sportsbooks are tightening their lines — often in response to increased competition or higher betting volume as a season heats up.