Closing Lines
Best available closing moneyline: New England Patriots +280 at FanDuel (runner-up +275 at DraftKings); Buffalo Bills -295 at ReBet (runner-up -300 at Bovada).
| Market | Closing (best available) |
|---|---|
| Moneyline — New England Patriots | +280 at FanDuel (runner-up +275 at DraftKings) |
| Moneyline — Buffalo Bills | -295 at ReBet (runner-up -300 at Bovada) |
| Spread (Buffalo Bills, consensus) | -7 |
| Total (consensus) | 49.5 |
Line Movement
Since Sep 27, 1 PM ET, the moneyline has moved toward Buffalo Bills (New England Patriots price improved from +215 to +280); the spread moved toward Buffalo Bills: Buffalo Bills opened -5.5, now -7.
| Market | Tracking opened (Sep 27, 1 PM ET) | Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline (best available) | New England Patriots +215 / Buffalo Bills -244 | New England Patriots +280 / Buffalo Bills -295 |
| Spread (Buffalo Bills, consensus) | -5.5 | -7 (range -7 to -5.5) |
| Total (consensus) | 49.5 | 49.5 |
Previous Meetings — Best Closing Prices
Head-to-head history with the best available price per side at close — the line-shopping benchmark for this matchup.
| Date | Game | Away best | Home best | Spread (home) | Total | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots | -134 (FanDuel) | +123 (theScore Bet) | +2.5 | 49.5 | 18 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills | +365 (Bovada) | -410 (DraftKings) | -7.5 | 49 | 17 |
Pricing Context: NFL Vig
Lowest-vig sportsbooks for NFL right now: LowVig.ag (B+, 3.16% avg vig), Pinnacle (B+, 3.17% avg vig), BetMGM (B, 4.36% avg vig). Lower vig means the book keeps less of every dollar wagered — the best single-game price and the best long-run pricing are not always the same book. FanDuel, which holds a best price on this game, grades B on NFL vig overall.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the closing line for New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills?
Best available closing moneyline: New England Patriots +280 at FanDuel (runner-up +275 at DraftKings); Buffalo Bills -295 at ReBet (runner-up -300 at Bovada). Closing consensus spread: Buffalo Bills -7. Consensus total: 49.5. Captured October 4, 2026 at 5:01 PM UTC across 20 sportsbooks.
How did the line move before New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills?
Since Sep 27, 1 PM ET, the moneyline has moved toward Buffalo Bills (New England Patriots price improved from +215 to +280); the spread moved toward Buffalo Bills: Buffalo Bills opened -5.5, now -7.
Why do closing lines matter?
The closing line is the market’s final, sharpest price. Beating it consistently (positive closing line value, CLV) is the standard test of a winning bettor or betting model. AgentBets archives the best available closing price per side — the benchmark line shoppers actually could have gotten.
What were the closing lines in previous New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills meetings?
This page archives 3 meeting(s) of this matchup with the best available price per side at each — see the Previous Meetings table.
How We Calculate These Numbers
- Data Source
- All odds on this page come from The Odds API, which aggregates real-time lines from licensed US and offshore sportsbooks. We track moneyline, spread, and totals markets across every sport with active betting lines.
- Update Frequency
- We pull a fresh snapshot of every tracked market every hour, on the hour (UTC). Each snapshot captures the latest lines from every sportsbook that has posted odds for a given event. The timestamp at the top of each page tells you exactly when the data was last refreshed.
- Vig Calculation
- Vig (short for vigorish, also called juice or overround) measures the margin a sportsbook builds into its odds. We calculate it by converting the odds on each side of a market to implied probabilities, summing those probabilities, and subtracting 100%. For example, a market priced at -110/-110 implies 52.38% on each side — a total of 104.76%, meaning a vig of 4.76%. Lower vig means better value for bettors because you keep more of your winnings.
- Per-Market Breakdown
- We compute vig separately for each market type: moneyline (h2h), point spreads, and totals (over/under). The "average vig" shown for each sportsbook is the mean across all market types weighted by the number of events sampled in each market.
- Grading Scale
- Every sportsbook receives a letter grade based on its average vig: A+ (under 2%) is exchange-level pricing. A (2–3%) is very competitive. B+ (3–4%) is above average. B (4–5%) is the industry standard — a -110/-110 line is 4.76%. C+ (5–6%) is slightly below average. C (6–7%) is below average. D (7–8%) is high vig. D− (8–10%) is very high vig. F (10%+) is predatory pricing. See the full Vig Index Methodology for formulas, worked examples, and known limitations.
- Trend Tracking
- We store daily snapshots for 30 days, allowing us to show 24-hour and 7-day vig trends. A downward trend (improving) means sportsbooks are tightening their lines — often in response to increased competition or higher betting volume as a season heats up.