Closing Lines
Best available closing moneyline: Preston Lagrange +425 at BetMGM (runner-up +411 at Pinnacle); Nell Ariano -500 at FanDuel (runner-up -537 at Pinnacle).
| Market | Closing (best available) |
|---|---|
| Moneyline — Preston Lagrange | +425 at BetMGM (runner-up +411 at Pinnacle) |
| Moneyline — Nell Ariano | -500 at FanDuel (runner-up -537 at Pinnacle) |
| Total (consensus) | 1.5 |
Line Movement
Since Oct 6, 9 AM ET, the moneyline has moved toward Nell Ariano (Preston Lagrange price improved from +388 to +425).
| Market | Tracking opened (Oct 6, 9 AM ET) | Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline (best available) | Preston Lagrange +388 / Nell Ariano -420 | Preston Lagrange +425 / Nell Ariano -500 |
Pricing Context: MMA Vig
Lowest-vig sportsbooks for MMA right now: BetOnline.ag (B, 4.19% avg vig), Pinnacle (B, 4.28% avg vig), BetMGM (B, 4.39% avg vig). Lower vig means the book keeps less of every dollar wagered — the best single-game price and the best long-run pricing are not always the same book. BetMGM, which holds a best price on this game, grades B on MMA vig overall.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the closing line for Preston Lagrange vs Nell Ariano?
Best available closing moneyline: Preston Lagrange +425 at BetMGM (runner-up +411 at Pinnacle); Nell Ariano -500 at FanDuel (runner-up -537 at Pinnacle). Consensus total: 1.5. Captured October 7, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC across 5 sportsbooks.
How did the line move before Preston Lagrange vs Nell Ariano?
Since Oct 6, 9 AM ET, the moneyline has moved toward Nell Ariano (Preston Lagrange price improved from +388 to +425).
Why do closing lines matter?
The closing line is the market’s final, sharpest price. Beating it consistently (positive closing line value, CLV) is the standard test of a winning bettor or betting model. AgentBets archives the best available closing price per side — the benchmark line shoppers actually could have gotten.
How We Calculate These Numbers
- Data Source
- All odds on this page come from The Odds API, which aggregates real-time lines from licensed US and offshore sportsbooks. We track moneyline, spread, and totals markets across every sport with active betting lines.
- Update Frequency
- We pull a fresh snapshot of every tracked market every hour, on the hour (UTC). Each snapshot captures the latest lines from every sportsbook that has posted odds for a given event. The timestamp at the top of each page tells you exactly when the data was last refreshed.
- Vig Calculation
- Vig (short for vigorish, also called juice or overround) measures the margin a sportsbook builds into its odds. We calculate it by converting the odds on each side of a market to implied probabilities, summing those probabilities, and subtracting 100%. For example, a market priced at -110/-110 implies 52.38% on each side — a total of 104.76%, meaning a vig of 4.76%. Lower vig means better value for bettors because you keep more of your winnings.
- Per-Market Breakdown
- We compute vig separately for each market type: moneyline (h2h), point spreads, and totals (over/under). The "average vig" shown for each sportsbook is the mean across all market types weighted by the number of events sampled in each market.
- Grading Scale
- Every sportsbook receives a letter grade based on its average vig: A+ (under 2%) is exchange-level pricing. A (2–3%) is very competitive. B+ (3–4%) is above average. B (4–5%) is the industry standard — a -110/-110 line is 4.76%. C+ (5–6%) is slightly below average. C (6–7%) is below average. D (7–8%) is high vig. D− (8–10%) is very high vig. F (10%+) is predatory pricing. See the full Vig Index Methodology for formulas, worked examples, and known limitations.
- Trend Tracking
- We store daily snapshots for 30 days, allowing us to show 24-hour and 7-day vig trends. A downward trend (improving) means sportsbooks are tightening their lines — often in response to increased competition or higher betting volume as a season heats up.