A moneyline bet in the Bundesliga is a three-way market, which distinguishes it from two-way moneylines in American sports. Bettors must choose between a home win, draw, or away win — and that draw option is critical. Unlike spread or totals markets, the moneyline requires picking the exact outcome, and the draw is where most casual bettors lose value. In a league where roughly 25% of matches historically end level, ignoring or undervaluing the draw is a costly mistake. The three-way structure also means the implied probabilities across all three outcomes must sum to over 100%, with the excess representing the bookmaker's margin.
Moneyline vig in the Bundesliga tends to run slightly higher than Asian handicap or totals markets because the third outcome (draw) gives sportsbooks an additional line to embed margin into. Bettors should pay close attention to vig differences across books, especially on matches involving mid-table sides where outcomes are hardest to predict and bookmakers often widen their margins. The moneyline market becomes most valuable when there's a clear situational edge — such as a club returning from European midweek duty, a managerial change bounce, or significant injury news that hasn't fully moved the line. Targeting underdogs and draws at compressed vig often yields better long-term returns than backing heavy favorites like Bayern Munich at steep prices.
Moneyline Vig Rankings
| # | Sportsbook | Vig | Grade | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LowVig.ag | 3.50% | B+ | 9 |
| 2 | BetOnline.ag | 3.50% | B+ | 9 |
| 3 | Pinnacle | 4.56% | B | 18 |
| 4 | BetUS | 5.31% | C+ | 9 |
| 5 | BetMGM | 5.70% | C+ | 17 |
| 6 | Fanatics | 5.72% | C+ | 18 |
| 7 | Caesars | 5.84% | C+ | 9 |
| 8 | FanDuel | 6.21% | C | 9 |
| 9 | Bally Bet | 6.35% | C | 18 |
| 10 | betPARX | 6.35% | C | 18 |
| 11 | theScore Bet (ESPN Bet) | 6.83% | C | 9 |
| 12 | Hard Rock Bet | 7.10% | D | 18 |
| 13 | BetRivers | 7.10% | D | 18 |
| 14 | 888sport | 8.75% | D- | 18 |
| 15 | DraftKings | 9.50% | D- | 18 |
Upcoming Moneyline Lines
| Matchup | Time | Pinnacle | FanDuel | Fanatics | 888sport | Hard Rock Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Heidenheim @ Bayern Munich | May 2, 1:30 PM | -437 / +872 | -425 / +800 | -425 / +900 | -450 / +900 | -425 / +800 |
| 1. FC Köln @ Union Berlin | May 2, 1:30 PM | +152 / +199 | +150 / +190 | +140 / +190 | +140 / +188 | +145 / +185 |
| Augsburg @ Werder Bremen | May 2, 1:30 PM | -103 / +266 | -110 / +270 | -105 / +260 | -110 / +250 | -105 / +250 |
| Hamburger SV @ Eintracht Frankfurt | May 2, 1:30 PM | +339 / -131 | +330 / -140 | +330 / -135 | +300 / -138 | +325 / -135 |
| VfB Stuttgart @ TSG Hoffenheim | May 2, 1:30 PM | +169 / +137 | +170 / +130 | +175 / +130 | +162 / +125 | +165 / +130 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is a moneyline bet?
A moneyline bet is the simplest form of sports wagering — you're picking which team will win the game outright, with no point spread involved. The odds reflect each team's implied probability of winning. Favorites have negative odds (e.g., -150) and underdogs have positive odds (e.g., +130).
Why does moneyline vig vary by matchup?
Moneyline vig is lowest on evenly matched games and highest on lopsided matchups. When a heavy favorite is -500, the book needs a wide margin on the underdog side to balance risk. Close games near pick'em (-110/-110) will always have the tightest vig.
How does Bundesliga vig compare to other top leagues?
The Bundesliga offers very competitive vig, especially with European bookmakers. German football's popularity drives strong betting volume, and the Bundesliga's accessible schedule (primarily Saturday 3:30 PM CET) concentrates interest to push margins lower.
What is vig (vigorish) in sports betting?
Vig — short for vigorish, also called juice or overround — is the margin a sportsbook builds into its odds. It's the difference between the true probability of an outcome and what the odds imply. Lower vig means you keep more of your winnings on every bet. For example, a standard -110/-110 line has about 4.76% vig.
How often is this data updated?
We pull fresh odds from The Odds API three times per day — at 6:00 AM, 2:00 PM, and 10:00 PM UTC. Each snapshot captures the latest lines from every sportsbook that has posted odds. The timestamp at the top of the page shows the most recent refresh.
How is the vig grade calculated?
Each sportsbook is graded on a letter scale based on average vig: A+ (under 2%) is exceptional, A (2–3%) is excellent, B+ (3–4%) is above average, B (4–5%) is the industry standard, C (5–6%) is below average, and D (above 6%) indicates high-juice markets.
Why does lower vig matter for bettors?
Lower vig directly impacts your long-term returns. A bettor placing $1,000 per week at a book with 4% vig loses roughly $40/week to the house edge. At 2% vig, that drops to $20/week — a $1,040 difference over a year. For serious bettors, shopping for lower vig is one of the most reliable ways to improve profitability.
What sportsbooks do you track?
We track both regulated US sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars) and offshore books (Bovada, BetOnline, MyBookie, BetUS, LowVig.ag, BetAnySports). Data comes from The Odds API, which aggregates real-time lines from licensed sources.
How We Calculate These Numbers
- Data Source
- All odds on this page come from The Odds API, which aggregates real-time lines from licensed US and offshore sportsbooks. We track moneyline, spread, and totals markets across every sport with active betting lines.
- Update Frequency
- We pull a fresh snapshot of every tracked market three times per day — at 6:00 AM, 2:00 PM, and 10:00 PM UTC. Each snapshot captures the latest lines from every sportsbook that has posted odds for a given event. The timestamp at the top of each page tells you exactly when the data was last refreshed.
- Vig Calculation
- Vig (short for vigorish, also called juice or overround) measures the margin a sportsbook builds into its odds. We calculate it by converting the odds on each side of a market to implied probabilities, summing those probabilities, and subtracting 100%. For example, a market priced at -110/-110 implies 52.38% on each side — a total of 104.76%, meaning a vig of 4.76%. Lower vig means better value for bettors because you keep more of your winnings.
- Per-Market Breakdown
- We compute vig separately for each market type: moneyline (h2h), point spreads, and totals (over/under). The "average vig" shown for each sportsbook is the mean across all market types weighted by the number of events sampled in each market.
- Grading Scale
- Every sportsbook receives a letter grade based on its average vig: A+ (under 2%) is exchange-level pricing. A (2–3%) is very competitive. B+ (3–4%) is above average. B (4–5%) is the industry standard — a -110/-110 line is 4.76%. C+ (5–6%) is slightly below average. C (6–7%) is below average. D (7–8%) is high vig. D− (8–10%) is very high vig. F (10%+) is predatory pricing. See the full Vig Index Methodology for formulas, worked examples, and known limitations.
- Trend Tracking
- We store daily snapshots for 30 days, allowing us to show 24-hour and 7-day vig trends. A downward trend (improving) means sportsbooks are tightening their lines — often in response to increased competition or higher betting volume as a season heats up.