Moneyline betting in the English Premier League requires a key distinction from two-outcome American sports: EPL moneylines are three-way markets, meaning bettors must choose between a home win, away win, or draw. This fundamentally changes the calculus compared to NFL or NBA moneylines, where only two outcomes exist. The draw option, which hits roughly 25-27% of the time across a typical Premier League season, is where much of the value — and the bookmaker's edge — tends to hide. Because casual bettors gravitate toward backing one side to win, the draw is frequently undervalued relative to its true probability.
From a vig perspective, three-way moneylines typically carry higher built-in margins than two-way markets like Asian handicaps or over/under totals. Books can distribute overround across three outcomes rather than two, making it easier to embed juice without it being immediately obvious to the bettor. This is precisely why comparing vig across sportsbooks matters most in this market — the variance in margins between operators can be substantial. Bettors should pay particular attention to matches between closely ranked sides, where the probability distribution across all three outcomes is tightest and even small vig differences meaningfully impact expected value.
Analysis updated October 11, 2026. Odds data above refreshes hourly.
Moneyline Vig Rankings
| # | Sportsbook | Vig | Grade | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BetAnything | 3.47% | B+ | 10 |
| 2 | LowVig.ag | 3.47% | B+ | 10 |
| 3 | BetOnline.ag | 3.47% | B+ | 10 |
| 4 | Pinnacle | 4.36% | B | 20 |
| 5 | Hard Rock Bet | 4.70% | B | 20 |
| 6 | BetUS | 4.83% | B | 10 |
| 7 | Bally Bet | 4.83% | B | 20 |
| 8 | BetRivers | 4.83% | B | 20 |
| 9 | Bovada | 5.01% | C+ | 20 |
| 10 | Fanatics | 5.74% | C+ | 20 |
| 11 | DraftKings | 5.87% | C+ | 20 |
| 12 | BetMGM | 5.89% | C+ | 10 |
| 13 | FanDuel | 6.51% | C | 21 |
| 14 | theScore Bet (ESPN Bet) | 6.66% | C | 10 |
| 15 | Caesars | 7.32% | D | 10 |
| 16 | betPARX | 7.33% | D | 20 |
| 17 | 888sport | 7.92% | D | 20 |
| 18 | MyBookie.ag | 8.01% | D- | 20 |
| 19 | ReBet | 9.20% | D- | 20 |
| 20 | Fliff | 9.73% | D- | 2 |
Upcoming Moneyline Lines
| Matchup (away @ home) | Time | 888sport | ReBet | MyBookie.ag | FanDuel | BetMGM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United @ Chelsea | Oct 31, 8:30 AM EDT | +280 / -120 | +290 / -127 | +290 / -127 | +300 / -125 | +300 / -120 |
| Leeds United @ Bournemouth | Oct 31, 11:00 AM EDT | +240 / +110 | +226 / +112 | +232 / +108 | +250 / +115 | +240 / +110 |
| Nottingham Forest @ Brentford | Oct 31, 11:00 AM EDT | +230 / +100 | +226 / +106 | +230 / +104 | +250 / +105 | +240 / +105 |
| Brighton and Hove Albion @ Manchester City | Oct 31, 11:00 AM EDT | +340 / -154 | +350 / -168 | +350 / -168 | +380 / -160 | +350 / -155 |
| Sunderland @ Coventry City | Oct 31, 11:00 AM EDT | +130 / +190 | +128 / +198 | +128 / +198 | +130 / +210 | +130 / +210 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is a moneyline bet?
A moneyline bet is the simplest form of sports wagering — you're picking which team will win the game outright, with no point spread involved. The odds reflect each team's implied probability of winning. Favorites have negative odds (e.g., -150) and underdogs have positive odds (e.g., +130).
Why does moneyline vig vary by matchup?
Moneyline vig is lowest on evenly matched games and highest on lopsided matchups. When a heavy favorite is -500, the book needs a wide margin on the underdog side to balance risk. Close games near pick'em (-110/-110) will always have the tightest vig.
How does EPL vig compare to American sports?
The English Premier League is the most bet-on football (soccer) league globally. European betting markets are extremely liquid, which drives vig down to competitive levels — often on par with or better than NFL. The three-way moneyline (home/draw/away) does add complexity.
When is EPL season?
The EPL season runs from mid-August through late May, with a brief winter break in January. Matches are primarily on weekends with midweek fixtures during cup competitions. Off-season runs from June to mid-August.
Why does soccer have a three-way moneyline?
Unlike American sports where ties are rare or impossible, draws are common in soccer — about 25% of EPL matches end in a draw. The three-way moneyline (home win, draw, away win) adds a third outcome, which typically results in slightly higher vig compared to a two-way market.
What is vig (vigorish) in sports betting?
Vig — short for vigorish, also called juice or overround — is the margin a sportsbook builds into its odds. It's the difference between the true probability of an outcome and what the odds imply. Lower vig means you keep more of your winnings on every bet. For example, a standard -110/-110 line has about 4.76% vig.
How often is this data updated?
We pull fresh odds from The Odds API every hour, on the hour (UTC). Each snapshot captures the latest lines from every sportsbook that has posted odds. The timestamp at the top of the page shows the most recent refresh.
How is the vig grade calculated?
Each sportsbook is graded on average vig: A+ (under 2%) is exchange-level pricing, A (2–3%) very competitive, B+ (3–4%) above average, B (4–5%) the industry standard, C+ (5–6%) slightly below average, C (6–7%) below average, D (7–8%) high vig, D− (8–10%) very high, F (10%+) predatory.
Why does lower vig matter for bettors?
Lower vig directly impacts your long-term returns. A bettor placing $1,000 per week at a book with 4% vig loses roughly $40/week to the house edge. At 2% vig, that drops to $20/week — a $1,040 difference over a year. For serious bettors, shopping for lower vig is one of the most reliable ways to improve profitability.
What sportsbooks do you track?
We track both regulated US sportsbooks (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars) and offshore books (Bovada, BetOnline, MyBookie, BetUS, LowVig.ag, BetAnything). Data comes from The Odds API, which aggregates real-time lines from licensed sources.
How We Calculate These Numbers
- Data Source
- All odds on this page come from The Odds API, which aggregates real-time lines from licensed US and offshore sportsbooks. We track moneyline, spread, and totals markets across every sport with active betting lines.
- Update Frequency
- We pull a fresh snapshot of every tracked market every hour, on the hour (UTC). Each snapshot captures the latest lines from every sportsbook that has posted odds for a given event. The timestamp at the top of each page tells you exactly when the data was last refreshed.
- Vig Calculation
- Vig (short for vigorish, also called juice or overround) measures the margin a sportsbook builds into its odds. We calculate it by converting the odds on each side of a market to implied probabilities, summing those probabilities, and subtracting 100%. For example, a market priced at -110/-110 implies 52.38% on each side — a total of 104.76%, meaning a vig of 4.76%. Lower vig means better value for bettors because you keep more of your winnings.
- Per-Market Breakdown
- We compute vig separately for each market type: moneyline (h2h), point spreads, and totals (over/under). The "average vig" shown for each sportsbook is the mean across all market types weighted by the number of events sampled in each market.
- Grading Scale
- Every sportsbook receives a letter grade based on its average vig: A+ (under 2%) is exchange-level pricing. A (2–3%) is very competitive. B+ (3–4%) is above average. B (4–5%) is the industry standard — a -110/-110 line is 4.76%. C+ (5–6%) is slightly below average. C (6–7%) is below average. D (7–8%) is high vig. D− (8–10%) is very high vig. F (10%+) is predatory pricing. See the full Vig Index Methodology for formulas, worked examples, and known limitations.
- Trend Tracking
- We store daily snapshots for 30 days, allowing us to show 24-hour and 7-day vig trends. A downward trend (improving) means sportsbooks are tightening their lines — often in response to increased competition or higher betting volume as a season heats up.